Tag: Central Florida

Bubble Boys

Ethan Hyman -Raleigh & Observer Former Wolfpack basketball players Tom Gugliotta, center, and Chris Corchiani, center right, are removed from the stands with 6 minutes, 40 seconds left in N.C. State's 76-62 loss to Florida State on Saturday.

Today we’re going to examine the resumes of several teams on the bubble.  Central Florida, Colorado St, Connecticut, Loyola Marymount, Miami(FL), NC State, Northwestern, Seton Hall, St. Joseph’s, Texas, Washington, Xavier

Central Florida

RPI: 56

Record: 19-7 (8-4 Conference-USA)

Key Wins: Connecticut, Memphis

Key Losses: Louisiana-Lafayette, Tulsa

Outlook: UCF is just 2-4 against Memphis, Southern Miss, Tulsa and Marshall – the other top teams in Conference USA.  Still has a road game at Memphis but will probably need to get to at-least the Conference USA title game to feel good about their chances.

Colorado St

RPI: 29

Record: 16-9 (5-5 Mountain West)

Key Wins: Colorado, Denver, Wyoming, San Diego St

Key Losses: TCU, Boise St

Outlook: The Rams still have a road game at San Diego St sandwiched between home games against New Mexico and UNLV so the opportunity to make a jump is there.  It’ll be difficult, but if the Rams can go 3-1 in their last four and get to the semi-finals of the Mountain West tournament then that will probably be enough for a bid.

Connecticut

RPI: 24

Record: 16-10 (6-8 Big East)

Key Wins: Florida St, Harvard, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Seton Hall

Key Losses: Rutgers, Tennessee

Outlook: The Huskies will have one of the top two or three strength of schedules in the country.  Despite the issue that have plagued them, they have a favorable schedule down the stretch.  A split in their last four and a visit to the quarters will get them to the Big Dance.

Loyola Marymount

RPI: 86

Record: 18-10 (10-4 West Coast)

Key Wins: Saint Louis, BYU, Saint Mary’s

Key Losses: Columbia, North Texas, Morgan St

Outlook: The Lions’ wins over Saint Louis, BYU and Saint Mary’s are better than any wins many of the teams on this list will have.  Those losses to Columbia, North Texas and Morgan St give severe pause though.  May have to win the West Coast Conference tournament to get in, if they get to final they’ll be seriously considered.

Miami (FL)

RPI: 44

Record: 16-9 (7-5 ACC)

Key Wins: Massachusetts, Duke

Key Losses: None

Outlook: Miami has just one quality win, but a win in Cameron carries a lot of weight.  The Hurricanes have a pretty solid strength of schedule, but are just 1-6 against the top 50.  They go to Maryland followed by a home game against Florida St and a road game at NC State.  Their margin of error is extremely slim.

NC State

RPI: 59

Record: 18-9 (7-5 ACC)

Key Wins: Texas, Miami (FL)

Key Losses: Stanford, Georgia Tech

Outlook: NC State had the worst week ever last week.  The Wolfpack lost a game it had won at Duke and then lost at home to Florida St where two of it’s legends were kicked out of the arena.  Win those two games and they’re not even on this list.  NC State has North Carolina and Miami at home coming up.  The opportunity to solidify a tournament berth is still available.

Northwestern

RPI: 37

Record: 16-10 (6-8 Big Ten)

Key Wins: LSU, Seton Hall, Michigan St, Illinois, Minnesota

Key Losses: None

Outlook: The Wildcats have never gone to the NCAA tournament before, but that all can change this season.  They have Michigan and Ohio St at home along with trips to Penn St and Iowa.  4-0 definitely, 3-1 probably, 2-2 and they better get to the Big Ten tournament semifinals.

Seton Hall

RPI: 34

Record: 18-9 (7-8)

Key Wins: Virginia Commonwealth, Dayton, West Virginia, Connecticut, Pittsburgh

Key Losses: Villanova

Outlook: Solid Strength of schedule, but still has a lot of work to do.  The Pirates have Georgetown at home this week and that will go a long way.  Remaining games versus Rutgers and Depaul are more can’t lose than must wins.  If Seton Hall goes 2-1, one of those two needs to be against Georgetown.

St. Joseph’s

RPI: 46

Record: 18-10 (8-5 Atlantic-10)

Key Wins: Drexel, Creighton, Duquesne, Dayton, LaSalle, Massachusetts

Key Losses: American, Charlotte, Penn

Outlook: The Hawks are benefitting from a weak bubble.  They’re currently 0-3 against Temple, Saint Louis and Xavier, which makes their game against Temple on Saturday uber-important.  They lose that game and they’re probably looking at winning the Atlantic-10 tournament to get in.

Texas

RPI: 51

Record: 17-10 (7-7 Big 12)

Key Wins: Temple, Oklahoma St, Iowa St, Kansas St

Key Losses: Oregon St

Outlook: The Longhorns host Baylor tonight and close the season at Kansas.  They have four games remaining and I thing going 3-1 in those games will get them in.  Under no circumstances can they lose to Texas Tech or Oklahoma.

Washington

RPI: 57

Record: 19-8 (12-3 Pac-12)

Key Wins: Oregon, Arizona (2)

Key Losses: None

Outlook: Washington is going to  have to finish at least tied for the Pac-12 regular season title and make it to the championship game to get an at-large berth.  Whether the committee wants to admit it or not; winning the regular season title of a power six conference carries weight.

Xavier

RPI: 54

Record: 17-9 (8-4 Atlantic-10)

Key Wins: Vanderbilt, Purdue, Cincinnati, Duquesne, St. Josephs, Dayton

Key Losses: Hawaii

Outlook: While the Musketeers haven’t been playing as well as they had been before the brawl, they still have the same roster.  That means this team is still capable of winning big games.  One of the best resumes on this list and may have a larger margin for error than other team seen here.  Still, I’d go 3-1 down the stretch if I were Xavier.

This Week’s Bracket Projections:

Last Four In: St. Josephs, Connecticut, Miami (FL), Seton Hall
Last Four Out: UCF, NC State, Colorado St, Illinois

Good for games through of 2/19

SOUTH

1.Kentucky16.Vermont/Savannah St Louisville

8.Virginia9.St. Mary’s

5.Louisville12.Northwestern Albuquerque

4.Baylor13.Oral Roberts

6.UNLV11.Mississippi St Columbus

3.Georgetown14.Davidson

7.Creighton10.Memphis Pittsburgh

2.Ohio St15.Belmont

WEST

1.Duke16.UNC-Asheville/Mississippi Valley St Greensboro

8.Saint Louis9.Harvard

5.Wisconsin12.Texas Albuquerque

4.Notre Dame13.Drexel

6.Indiana11.Seton Hall/Miami(FL) Nashville

3.Florida14.Middle Tennessee St

7.California10.Southern Mississippi Omaha

2.Kansas15.Long Island

MIDWEST

1.Missouri16.Bucknell Omaha

8.West Virginia9.Purdue

5.Florida St12.Washington Nashville

4.Temple13.Iona

6.Gonzaga11.Alabama Portland

3.Marquette14.Nevada

7.San Diego St10.Iowa St Columbus

2.Michigan St15.Valparaiso

EAST

1.Syracuse16.UT-Arlington Pittsburgh

8.Kansas St9.BYU

5.New Mexico12.Long Beach St Portland

4.Wichita St13.Connecticut/St. Josephs

6.Vanderbilt11.Xavier  Louisville

3.Michigan14.Akron

7.Murray St10.Cincinnati Greensboro

2.North Carolina15.Weber St

In Graphical Form

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The Jimmer Show

It's Jimmer's world and we're just living in it

He’s leading the nation in scoring, his team has the No. 2 rated RPI, but can’t get a sniff of a ESPN broadcast. Jimmer Fredette has his BYU cougar squad rolling so far this season and much of that is due to the fact that he’s proving to be unguardable on the college level.

Fredette is leading the nation in scoring at 26.1 per game right now on 48 percent shooting. It doesn’t get much better than that and doesn’t get much better than the Cougars. At 15-1, the Cougars are looking at a possible top-four seed in the NCAA Tournament and a Mountain West Conference title.

Fredette may be the best player in the country and BYU may be the best team out West. BYU has disposed of much of the 14th rated schedule with ease and there’s no reason why we shouldn’t expect it to continue to play great through conference play.

Stock Up: The Big East. Rebuild…how about Reload. If you look below at the bracket, you’ll see 11 teams from the Big East in the field. Now, I don’t believe the Big East will get 11 teams in come March, but I expect to see nine and 10 won’t surprise me. Once again it’s the best conference in America – appearing to be just as stacked at the top as it’s always been.

Stock Down: Mississippi St. I’m not really sure what Rick Stansbury is doing, but he needs to figure out what kind of program he wants to run. Right now he looks like he has no control as he has a player, who was suspended for all of last season and most of this season, get into a fight with a teammate in practice – gets suspended – gets reinstated – and then gets into a fight with another teammate while watching two other teams play a game. I don’t really know how he’s going to bounce back, but it looks like it’s going to be a long season in Starkville.

Stock Up: Central Florida. The team led by Marcus Jordan, son of Michael, is off to a 13-1 start with wins over in-state rivals Florida and Miami. The Knights will have some serious challenges if they want to win Conference-USA, but it looks like they’re primed for one of the best seasons in program history.

Stock Down: ACC. A few years ago the possibility of a team being good enough to go undefeated through the ACC was laughable. Now…it’s pretty realistic. That’s not because Duke is that great, it’s because the ACC is that bad. With Wake Forest and Georgia Tech at horribly bad levels and NC State and Florida St under-achieving, get ready for a lot of whining on Selection Sunday from our friends on Tobacco Road.

This Week’s Bracket Projections:

Last Four In: Washington St, Virginia Tech, Richmond, Dayton
Last Four Out: New Mexico, USC, Southern Miss, Colorado St

Good for games through 1/10/2011

EAST
1.Duke16.McNeese St/Jackson St Charlotte
8.Vanderbilt9.Michigan St
5.UCF12.Dayton/Washington St Tampa
4.Missouri13.Harvard
6.UNLV11.Utah St Denver
3.Connecticut14.Coastal Carolina
7.Georgia10.St. John’s Chicago
2.Purdue15.Austin Peay
WEST
1.Syracuse16.Florida Atlantic Washington, DC
8.Minnesota9.Old Dominion
5.Washington12.UAB Tucson
4.Texas13.Charleston
6.Louisville11.Wichita St Chicago
3.Illinois14.Akron
7.Kansas St10.Cincinnati Tucson
2.San Diego St15.Long Beach St
SOUTHWEST
1.Kansas16.Northern Colorado Tulsa
8.Tennessee9.Arizona
5.Wisconsin12.Richmond/Virginia Tech Tulsa
4.Notre Dame13.Hofstra
6.Georgetown11.Gonzaga Charlotte
3.Kentucky14.Belmont
7.North Carolina10.Missouri St Cleveland
2.Pittsburgh15.Bucknell
SOUTHEAST
1.Ohio St16.Morgan St/Hartford Cleveland
8.West Virginia9.Boston College
5.Florida12.Marquette Tampa
4.Texas A&M13.Oakland
6.Temple11.Butler Denver
3.BYU14.Fairfield
7.Oklahoma St10.St. Mary’s Washington, DC
2.Villanova15.Wagner

In Graphical Form